Why Donald J. Trump Will Be the Next President of the United States

I hope the author is wrong. But suspect they’re right based on Hillary becoming the likely Democratic nominee.


Trump often emerges on stage from behind a dark navy curtain. That is a symbolically rich move, and it is a symbolism whose deeper meaning and importance throws others off, especially the likes of Hillary Clinton. This is the puppet master, the man behind the curtain, the campaign donor and buyer of favours and influence, who has suddenly decided to step out into the spotlight, and to not only be seen but to announce his role as a former puppet master, now turned rival. That has to ruin the whole show. The move is so deeply subversive, that one has to wonder just how many have truly appreciated its import.

Taking the bait, by agreeing to provide an explanation of why on several occasions since last September I have been voicing my always more certain belief that Donald Trump will be the next president of the US…

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2 thoughts on “Why Donald J. Trump Will Be the Next President of the United States

  1. 2016’s ‘the Bernie supporters who won’t vote for Hillary’, is almost the same meme as 2008’s ‘the Clinton supporters who won’t vote for Obama’. The difference is that age demographics are reversed.

    The ‘disruptor’ thing has low appeal in general elections. If there was a sizable ‘disruptor’ electorate, we would see a strong ‘third party’, or at least see one (or more tellingly, both) of the ‘two parties’ reforming/shifting fast. Neither Republican nor Democratic Parties show much indication of reforming.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. I agree with your sentiment that neither the GOP nor the Democratic party show much interest in reform (whether for internal democracy eg getting rid of superdelegates or wider use of caucuses etc).

    While I understand the objection you raise about how “it’s 2008 all over again, just in reverse”, I think this angle has been overhyped by the press coverage (including Sanders supporters who over-optimistically compare his campaign to Obama’s).

    The 2016 Democratic primary is completely different. The reason being that in 2008, Democratic voters had to choose between two Neoliberals who were fairly identical on the issues, but marginally different in terms of personal characteristics. This was not a ‘real’ choice.

    In 2016, you have a massive contrast between Clinton; who is the personification of the Neoliberalization of the Democratic party, everything that voters hate; the ultimate flip-flopper, who says anything it takes to get elected, who tells West Virginian coal miners that she’ll expand the coal industry immediately after she just told environmentalists that she would not be influenced by the $4.5 million donated to her campaign by the fossil fuel industry. Who campaigned for the TPP at 40 seperate press conferences, then conveniently becomes anti-TPP mere months before an election etc. Then on the other you have a democratic socialist who was to take the democratic party back to the New Deal origins of FDR; even going so far as to feature FDR’s grave in a campaign ad to emphasise the distinction.

    The contest is really “The candidate of Wall Street versus the candidate of Occupy Wall Street”. A starker difference would be hard to imagine.

    The youth vote and independents are critical in this. Both are explicit in the opinion polling in their hatred for the corruption Hillary stands for. Given this gulf between the two on policy (not mere personal characteristics as with Hillary versus Obama), I think the notion that voter turnout will be lower if Clinton wins the nomination is very plausible.


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